Is this enough to sway investors and begin a fightback for these companies?
A diary charting the thoughts, investing strategies, share investments, and stock market experiences (both good and bad), of a private investor.
Monday, 1 October 2018
Utilities: risk v. value.
Given the ongoing falls in UK utilities and the inertia effect it seems to having on my own portfolio, its interesting to read Citi's comments that much of the risk is now being discounted and value has appeared (uk.webfg.com: Downside for United Utilities now limited even if nationalised, Citi says).
Melrose musings.
Given the current low level of global sentiment and its completed takeover of GKN, Melrose has starting to interest me today (uk.webfg.com: Melrose happy to find 'no black holes' in GKN business). More musings and analysis needed.
Labels:
Melrose
October 2018: Dividend Pipeline and Apple comparison
As mentioned, after a bumper couple of months, expected October dividends will be a little scarce on the ground, as will the run to the end of the year.
Through August and September, all 4 of my big hitters, Lloyds, National Grid, Aviva, and BP delivered a payout, ably supported by a number of other chunky yielding companies.
As things stand though, for the year to date and v. the start of the year portfolio figure, actual dividends received have amounted to a yield of 4.12% (not adjusted for any funds removed), which is a figure I'm happy with. Although, it also has to be noted that this may have been at the expense of some capital growth, so I continue to look for a happy balance.
One thing that occurred to me to check was my current yield on Apple, which has a historic figure of 1.6% for the year ending Sept 2017, and a consensus forecast estimate of 1.2%.
After the 15% US withholding tax and a weaker sterling exchange rate, the net yield to me is around 0.9%, and a forecast estimate of 1.03%.
However, this does not always show the bigger picture given the strong long term capital growth that Apple has given.
Just for a little comparison, if I was to take the current forecast net yield (incl. 15% withholding tax and an exchange rate of $1: £1.3), and pitch it against my original investment in Apple, I see that I am actually receiving a net yield of 6.15%. Perhaps the best of both worlds and long may it continue to appreciate its share price and increase its dividend.
Through August and September, all 4 of my big hitters, Lloyds, National Grid, Aviva, and BP delivered a payout, ably supported by a number of other chunky yielding companies.
As things stand though, for the year to date and v. the start of the year portfolio figure, actual dividends received have amounted to a yield of 4.12% (not adjusted for any funds removed), which is a figure I'm happy with. Although, it also has to be noted that this may have been at the expense of some capital growth, so I continue to look for a happy balance.
One thing that occurred to me to check was my current yield on Apple, which has a historic figure of 1.6% for the year ending Sept 2017, and a consensus forecast estimate of 1.2%.
After the 15% US withholding tax and a weaker sterling exchange rate, the net yield to me is around 0.9%, and a forecast estimate of 1.03%.
However, this does not always show the bigger picture given the strong long term capital growth that Apple has given.
Just for a little comparison, if I was to take the current forecast net yield (incl. 15% withholding tax and an exchange rate of $1: £1.3), and pitch it against my original investment in Apple, I see that I am actually receiving a net yield of 6.15%. Perhaps the best of both worlds and long may it continue to appreciate its share price and increase its dividend.
Looking ahead: | ||||
Rate | ||||
Company | c. | p. | Xd | Paid |
National Grid | 15.49 | |||
Vodafone | 4.84 | |||
BAT | 48.8 | |||
Apple | 63 | |||
SSE | 28.4 | |||
Berkeley Group | 56.75 | |||
RDS 'B' | 47 | |||
Imperial Brands | 59.51 | |||
BP | 10 | |||
Galliford Try | 28 | |||
BAT | 48.8 | |||
Aviva | 19 | |||
Apple | 73 | |||
Lloyds | 2.05 | |||
RDS 'B' | 47 | |||
BP | 10 | |||
Imperial Brands | 28.43 | |||
Vodafone | 10.23 | |||
BAT | 48.8 | |||
National Grid | 30.44 | |||
Apple | 73 | |||
RDS 'B' | 47 | |||
SSE | 66.3 | |||
BP | 10.25 | |||
Aviva | 9.25 | |||
Standard Life Aberdeen | 7.3 | |||
Lloyds | 1.07 | |||
Imperial Brands | 28.43 | |||
Standard Chartered | 6 | 22/10/2018 | ||
BAT | 48.8 | 04/10/2018 | 15/11/2018 | |
Galliford Try | 49 | 08/11/2018 | 05/12/2018 | |
Imperial Brands | 22/11/2018 | 31/12/2018 |
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