Friday, 4 May 2012

Aviva AGM: Shareholders revolt!

Aviva @ 305.6p, -5.7p (-1.83%)

Hugely interesting to see the results of the Aviva showdown on executive pay at yesterday's AGM.
Actually quite encouraging to see an activist voting shareholder majority of 54% win the day when in the majority of these cases you hear (and support) the grumblings but then find it to have dissipated faced by a questionable solidarity amongst company management and major shareholders.

The vote appears to be the first won against a company's remuneration plans in 3 years (Glaxo), and follows swiftly on the back of the Barclay's vote which itself had a thought provoking 31.5% objecting to the company's executive pay plans particularly Bob Diamond's controversial double taxation package.

Its a shame that these votes are not executive and therefore only indicate dissatisfaction to the boards involved so it remains to be seen what level of changes/outcomes will be realised.

It does seem strange to me that these "stewards" of the company (an oft forgotten accountability) appear to have no restraint on the amount of compensation and remuneration that they can negotiate despite company under performance.
I also have my own views on this constant merry-go-round of nomadic, and seemingly mercenary talent.
Operations such as this must have established development programs but its questionable whether this is just a tick in the box or an active part of a company's strategy to develop best practice and strong cultural values. 
Certainly if the intention is genuine then this raises questions about the available mentor ship, values, and culture that filters down from "hired guns" that appear to put their own financial priorities above the company's declared values.

There is a balance required between all elements, and stakeholders, that seems missing these days. I also cringe at the oft quoted justification "thats what the industry scale is these days" for talent.
It seems to me that industry scale is only ever going in one direction given the unspoken cartel like approach to setting.
If an internal development program is effective then let the "so called talent" go and chase their priority whilst the company promotes from within and protects the culture of the company, and the trust, motivation, and loyalty of all employees.

Funnily enough financial security is only on the second level of Maslow's hierarchy of needs (just about the most common theoretical model taught in Management studies). 
This level of remuneration is much greater than just financial security but, somehow in this era, the 5 stage pyramid has been shaken up like a snow globe and an obscene financial gain has been pushed right to the top (albeit with the sub plot of self actualisation).

Wednesday, 2 May 2012

April 2012: Portfolio Update.

Well April proved to be a washout for UK markets (in more ways than one) with negligible changes to the FTSE100 or the portfolio.
Spanish, Greek, and European debt problems compounded by political concerns continue to be under the microscope and April saw a bumpy ride for Apple with the stock pulling back from record highs ahead of its 2nd quarter update as doubts were cast about the company's performance going forward.
In the historical short term, Apple once again blew away forecasts which prompted a bounce although the stock has since started to deflate again (buying opportunity perhaps? - Apple: Cheap at 11.4 times 2012 earnings? ).

On the up, William Hill also delivered a well received quarterly statement and romped on 7.65% in the month.
The perceived defensive qualities of National Grid also came back into demand amidst Euro concerns pushing the share price up 5.55% in the month.

Aviva did fall back though with its speculated exposure to European bonds.
The announcement of a management restructuring also had a mixed reception, with unexpected departures of management talent, as did the rumour that it could sell its US operations at a loss.
Grumblings on executive pay put the cherry on the cake and the bottom line is that the shares have lost all of this years early gains although there is also a dividend to account for.
Supermarkets also continued to be under pressure with industry price wars and Tesco concerns at the fore.

Exchange rates discounted the value of the portfolio's US holdings as the dollar : sterling rate rose to more than $1.62 to the £1 with the old pound note benefitting from perceived confidence in the UK economy as a safe haven in troubled time (bizarre).

Transaction wise there was a small quarterly dividend received from General Electric, and two top up purchases in Aviva and BP which brought the forecast forward yield (if held for 12 months) back up to 3.96% against the portfolio's current valuation.
As a result the portfolio has a cash position of 4.25%.

So what does each holding look like this month?

Merchant Adventurer's Index







Forecast 1 month YTD 28 mth

Price % holding Div. yield % gain % gain % gain
R-R 823.50p 32.67% 2.39% 1.42% 10.31% 70.32%
National Grid 665.50p 17.57% 5.90% 5.55% 6.48% 22.62%
Aviva 308.10p 8.85% 8.83% -5.98% 1.25% -9.87%
BP 445.00p 5.84% 4.60% -2.35% -2.05% 1.73%
Apple ** $584.03 5.51% 0.21% -3.90% 38.01% 196.85%
William Hill 281.40p 3.15% 3.74% 7.65% 38.76% 64.57%
IG Group 463.00p 2.94% 4.67% 2.89% -2.91% 53.89%
BG Group 1450.50p 2.54% 1.09% 0.17% 5.38% 33.07%
Microsoft ** $32.01 2.43% 2.03% -2.09% 18.01% 27.75%
General Electric ** $19.56 2.35% 2.61% -3.86% 4.52% 23.18%
Centrica 306.90p 2.31% 5.36% -3.00% 6.08% -2.82%
SSE 1321.00p 2.19% 6.36% -0.60% 2.32% 14.78%
Morrisons 280.60p 2.12% 4.33% -5.84% -13.98% 10.89%
Vodafone 170.50p 1.98% 7.44% -0.99% -4.70% 5.81%
BAE Systems 295.20p 1.77% 6.57% -1.57% 3.54% -7.53%
Tesco 317.35p 1.52% 4.75% -3.83% -21.34% -20.45%
Cash
4.25% 0.00%











100.00% 3.96%






1 Month YTD 28 Mnth
Virtual Portfolio gain (incl. Divs)

0.31% 8.25% 52.58%
FTSE gain (excl. Dividends)

-0.07% 2.97% 6.00%
- 1 month gain   5742.03 - 5737.78




- YTD gain         5572.28 - 5737.78




- 28 month gain 5412.88 - 5737.78











Transactions:





11/04/2012 Buy Aviva @ 312.2p per share


20/04/2012 Buy BP @ 436.36p per share


30/04/2012 Div General Electric @ 14.46c per share









Notes: 





*     US Dividends are adjusted for exchange rate and 15% withholding tax
**   Sterling : Dollar exchange rate = £1: $1.6235 as at 30/04/12



And, the usual graphic:


Click to enlarge, back to return

Coming back to dividends, there are now quite a few dividends that the portfolio has qualified for but not yet received from:
- Aviva @ 16p per share payable on the 17th May
- BG Group @ 12.96c per share payable on the 25th May
- BAE @ 11.3p per share payable on the 1st June
- Centrica @ 11.11p per share payable on the 13 June.
- Rolls-Royce @ 10.6p per share payable on the 4 July.
- Tesco @ 10.13p per share payable on the 6 July.

Added back in (to this updated valuation), these dividends would give the portfolio a further boost of 0.98% on top of the current year to date gain of 8.25%. 
Very pleasing.

Looking ahead I still have some funds in the portfolio and could yet be tempted to top up again on existing holdings as I look to build a platform for further gains if global economies can move forward. 
And although it doesn't alter my long term view, I am also fighting the feeling that there will continue to be turbulence and value making volatility in the short term.
I am also looking for some signs of economic stability to support the view that my portfolio holdings can at least continue to maintain their dividend payouts.

Other than that, I am reasonably satisfied with things at the moment.
Further to that, the added expectation of dividend entitlements to be paid, and further ex dividends to come from William Hill (2nd May) and National Grid (est. 1 June), can only help to galvanise my portfolio at this time.



Related Posts:

Links to Portfolio updates:
- Portfolio Updates.  
- March 2012: Portfolio Update.
February 2012: Portfolio Update.
January 2012: Portfolio Update.
December 2011: Portfolio Update.