Wednesday, 16 July 2014

2013 Dividends profiled.

OK as I'm trying to catch up on some of my portfolio checks and balances thought I'd check up on my one of my annual ones, that of 2013 dividends received.

And based upon the portfolio's value as at the end of 2012, 31 December, it looks like my portfolio has yielded 3.92%.
This represents a drop from the previous years 4.32% but, as both the dividends received and my portfolio's value has increased in monetary terms, the fall represents a lesser growth rate in dividends v. the increase in my portfolio which in 2012 was 16.68% (2012 providing the starting valuation for 2013's actual yield).
To confirm this I can see that my dividends received have only increased by 5.7% in 2013, the majority of the shortfall being down to the extreme dividend cut taken by Aviva to address trading underperformance.

So cumulatively, the profile can only be the same familiar s curve but with a little more steepness being added each year (and long may that continue!).


Click to enlarge, close to return.

Similarly the month by month profile has the familiar January and July/August peaks seen in previous years, as dictated by my portfolio's largest holdings in Rolls-Royce and National Grid.
Unfortunately the last third of the year has flattened somewhat given the actions taken by Aviva which have affected my November dividend receipts.



Click to enlarge, close to return.
Some of this can be better seen in the following chart where the pale green and Navy Blue blocks represent the dividends received from National Grid and Rolls-Royce.


Click to enlarge, close to return.

And, finally, the last 2 charts show the growth in dividends received in the last 3 years completed.
So with 2011 providing the base (100%), 2012 dividends represents an increase of 25.4% over 2011, and 2013 an increase of 32.55% over 2011 (5.7% increase over 2012).

Of course some of this has come from additional and changing investments and not the exact same collection of companies as held in 2011.


Click to enlarge, close to return.
And, month by month: 


Click to enlarge, close to return.

The charts do highlight a high dependency on National Grid which has helped to create the January and August spike.
And, in the cumulative chart you can see both of the subsequent years step higher in August, mainly as a result of NG increases, but also with new additions like Apple, and Imperial Tobacco.
You can also see the cut in November following Aviva's actions.

Just doing a quick check of things but, the dividends I have already received in 2014 (as at 30 June 2014), are almost as much as the amount received for the whole of 2011....Wow!

Of course, some of this has come from Vodafone's return of capital which resulted in a nice chunk of cash returned.
An amount which is comparable to the dividends that Rolls-Royce delivers to me and, while it may be an exception, it is hopefully a sign of things to come in future years and higher dividends.

Anyway, the growth in my portfolio's dividends continue to be encouraging as well as providing a nice solid base of returns. 
3.9% before any capital growth.

And, of course, I have already been re-investing those dividends to (hopefully), generate further compounding returns.

Onwards and upwards!


Related posts:
- First dividends of 2013 (and 2012 dividends in profile).

Tuesday, 8 July 2014

February 2014: Portfolio Update

Okay, so its been sometime and I have a little catching up to do with changes, movements etc.

February was notable for the execution of the Vodafone rights issue with the new share distribution, Verizon shares, and special dividend to follow next month.

The regular Vodafone dividend was received along with dividends from Apple, IG and a nice first contribution from Imperial Tobacco.

Quite a significant pullback can be seen in my portfolio following the disappointment in Rolls-Royce seen in January's, and my portfolio has now shown a two months decline of 5.6% year to date v. the FTSE 100's steadier performance.

Representing 29.77% of my portfolio Rolls-Royce has contributed significantly over the last few years and I have actually taken the recent fall as an opportunity to add a few more shares to the mix.

Supermarkets also continue to underperform and I am now seriously considering the paradigm shift towards discounters and convenience stores that analysts are proclaiming.
My view has always been that this shift would reverse as the economy improves so it is a test of my nerves.

Merchant Adventurer's Index
Forecast 1 month YTD 38 mth
Price % holding Div. yield % gain % gain % gain
R-R 999.00p 29.77% 2.32% -14.70% -20.18% 52.18%
National Grid 834.50p 15.11% 5.09% 5.77% 5.90% 50.90%
Aviva 473.60p 11.44% 3.39% 6.43% 5.31% 40.17%
BP 504.40p 6.04% 4.79% 5.52% 3.35% 11.34%
Apple ** $526.19 5.77% 2.09% 3.20% -7.53% 23.30%
Vodafone 252.30p 5.21% 4.34% 11.15% 6.46% 33.27%
IG Group 633.00p 4.68% 3.74% 1.12% 2.76% 32.65%
William Hill 397.60p 3.73% 3.19% 19.76% -1.07% 115.88%
Imperial Tobacco 2437.00p 2.81% 5.22% 9.63% 4.23% 7.88%
BAT 3250.00p 2.54% 4.53% 11.45% 0.37% -3.11%
General Electric ** $25.47 2.04% 2.58% -0.49% -10.40% 55.52%
Microsoft ** $38.31 1.94% 2.32% -0.60% 0.93% 27.80%
BAE Systems 410.90p 1.69% 5.01% -4.22% -5.54% 24.52%
Centrica 319.00p 1.65% 5.54% 2.57% -8.25% -3.80%
SSE 1403.00p 1.59% 6.25% 7.35% 2.41% 14.53%
Morrisons 235.30p 1.22% 5.47% -1.96% -9.85% -12.07%
BG Group 1088.50p 1.31% 1.70% 6.51% -16.11% -16.01%
Tesco 329.20p 1.08% 4.48% 2.87% -1.54% -17.48%
Cash 0.39% 0.00%
100.00% 3.55%
1 Month YTD 38 mth
Virtual Portfolio gain (incl. Dividends)
- 1 month gain   2040.58 - 
2019.42
-1.04%
- YTD gain         1644.62 -
2019.42
-5.60%
- 38 month gain 1264.20 -
2019.42
59.74%
- 50 month gain 1000.00 -
2019.42
101.94%
FTSE gain (excl. Dividends)
- 1 month gain   6510.44 -
6809.7
4.60%
- YTD gain         5897.81 -
6809.7
0.90%
- 38 month gain 5971.01 -
6809.7
14.05%
- 50 month gain 5412.88 -
6809.7
25.81%
Transactions:
06/02/2014 Div Vodaphone @ 3.53p per share
17/02/2014 Div Imp.Tobacco @ 81.2p per share
17/02/2014 Div Apple @ 152.82p per share
19/02/2014 Buy Rolls-Royce @ 1006.02p
24/02/2014 Sell Vodafone @ 252.3p
24/02/2014 Buy Vodafone @ 252.3p
24/02/2014 Buy Verizon @ $46.23 / £27.61
25/02/2014 Div IG Group @ 5.75p per share
Notes: 
*     US Dividends are adjusted for exchange rate and 15% withholding tax
**   Sterling : Dollar exchange rate = £1: $1.67448 as at 28/02/14


Disappointing to see the chart given the pullback in my portfolio.

Click to enlarge, close to return

So a disappointing start to the year and quite a few concerns that I need to keep an eye on.