Sunday, 28 July 2013

June 2013: Portfolio Update.

So markets continued to retreat in June closing the month out with a -5.58% fall in the FTSE 100 to 6215.47.
My portfolio performed marginally better with a lesser fall of -4.28% following a raft of dividends from BAE, William Hill, Centrica, Microsoft, Morrison, and BP.

Portfolio gainers in the month were few with just Aviva, IG, Microsoft, BAE, and Morrisons recording positive moves.
YTD there continues to be a healthy gain of 14.79% for the portfolio v. the FTSE100's 5.39%, helped by strong individual performances from Rolls-Royce, Microsoft, William Hill, IG, Vodafone, GE, and BAE.

Even more so when the dividends from each of these companies are taken into account.


Merchant Adventurer's Index
Forecast 1 month YTD 30 mth
Price % holding Div. yield % gain % gain % gain
R-R 1134.00p 36.25% 1.91% -5.89% 29.82% 82.02%
National Grid 746.00p 15.87% 5.50% -4.91% 6.12% 34.90%
Aviva 340.00p 9.65% 4.80% 1.86% -8.85% 0.63%
BP 455.00p 4.81% 5.09% -3.90% 7.11% -0.59%
Apple ** $396.53 4.42% 2.32% -11.87% -20.87% 7.08%
William Hill 441.00p 4.86% 2.64% -0.38% 33.88% 139.44%
IG Group 580.00p 5.05% 3.81% 0.17% 28.89% 21.54%
General Electric ** $23.19 2.40% 2.82% -0.66% 17.52% 55.96%
Centrica 360.00p 2.18% 4.81% -5.26% 7.91% 8.56%
Microsoft ** $34.55 2.26% 2.22% 9.05% 37.49% 26.95%
SSE 1523.00p 2.03% 5.54% -11.03% 7.40% 24.33%
Vodafone 188.00p 1.76% 5.51% -9.93% 21.72% 16.67%
BAE Systems 383.00p 1.85% 5.33% 2.80% 13.68% 16.06%
Morrisons 262.00p 1.60% 4.86% 0.34% -0.38% -2.09%
Imperial Tobacco 2280.00p 1.53% 5.09% -0.59% -0.59% -0.59%
BG Group 1119.00p 1.58% 1.60% -5.33% 10.52% -13.66%
Tesco 331.00p 1.28% 4.58% -25.29% -1.49% -17.03%
Cash 0.63% 0.00%
100.00% 3.48%
1 Month YTD 30 mth
Virtual Portfolio gain (incl. Dividends)
- 1 month gain   1972.20 -  1887.78 -4.28%
- YTD gain         1644.62 - 1887.78 14.79%
- 30 month gain 1264.20 - 1887.78 49.33%
- 42 month gain 1000.00 - 1887.78 88.78%
FTSE gain (excl. Dividends)
- 1 month gain   6583.09 - 6215.47 -5.58%
- YTD gain         5897.81 - 6215.47 5.39%
- 30 month gain 5971.01 - 6215.47 4.09%
- 42 month gain 5412.88 - 6215.47 14.83%
Transactions:
02/06/2013
Div
BAE @ 11.7p per share
07/06/2013
Div
William Hill @ 7.8p per share
12/06/2013
Div
Centrica @ 11.78p per share
17/06/2013
Div
Microsoft @ 12.5p per share
19/06/2013
Div
Morrisons @ 8.31p per share
21/06/2013
Div
BP @ 5.83p per share
Notes: 
*     US Dividends are adjusted for exchange rate and 15% withholding tax
**   Sterling : Dollar exchange rate = £1: $1.52027 as at 30/06/13


Interestingly, the chart shows a similar dip last year albeit in May rather than June and without the prior gains that have propelled this years performance so far.

Click to enlarge, close to return.

There is a continuing sense of uncertainty around the future direction of market stimulus from central banks and when it will end: Markets pause for breath! / FTSE's fragile confidence., and, as mentioned, I have my own views over any extension to this artificial market cocoon.

But I also think that any volatility created by this "uncertainty" should not be a concern to any investor with a longer term goal as it has more to do with emotion and "trade creation" than individual prospects.

A more realistic worry for me is that the "twice in a lifetime" conditions that allowed me to invest in lowly rated companies with good prospects and strong yields is changing as economies generally improve.
I say this because the credit crunch and falling markets were indiscriminate taking down good with bad and generally making the decision to invest in markets one for the brave / logical / emotionless.
But with markets and companies having improved over the last few years conditions are less indiscriminate meaning that companies' share prices are more closely rated to their performance than has been in the case over the last few years.

That's not to say that there won't still be sectors and companies cycling out of favour or company specific concerns that affect companies in the short term which might still represent opportunities of share price weakness for longer term investors.

After a lot of pondering I have also taken the decision to add more funds to my  portfolio so will be making an adjustment to accommodate the additional funds and investments over the next few weeks.








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