Saturday, 28 December 2013

October 2013: Portfolio Update

October has proven to be a good month for the FTSE and my portfolio with respective gains of 4.17% and 5.79%.
Pleasingly it took my overall gains back above 100% over 46 months boosted by a steady flow of dividends.
Double digit gains in the month came from Aviva, Apple, BP, and GE. 
On the downside, small pullbacks from  William Hill, Centrica, and SSE as short term success from punters and continued publicity over power company tariffs put pressure on these three.

Dividends in the month were added from IG and GE.

And. although easing slightly dollar strength against sterling continued to deflate some of my portfolio gains.

Nice to see Apple start to build some momentum again as expectation of the long awaited China Mobile deal escalates.

So the scores on the doors:


Merchant Adventurer's Index
Forecast 1 month YTD 34 mth
Price % holding Div. yield % gain % gain % gain
R-R 1150.00p 30.66% 1.91% 3.42% 31.65% 84.59%
National Grid 784.50p 13.92% 5.36% 7.39% 11.59% 41.86%
Aviva 449.10p 10.63% 3.59% 13.18% 20.40% 32.92%
Apple ** $522.35 5.86% 1.86% 10.74% 0.97% 27.75%
BP 482.70p 5.67% 4.82% 11.45% 12.70% 6.55%
Vodafone 224.50p 4.54% 4.60% 3.94% 20.22% 18.58%
IG Group 613.50p 4.45% 3.89% 5.96% 36.33% 28.56%
William Hill 400.90p 3.68% 2.93% -0.52% 21.71% 117.67%
Imperial Tobacco 2329.00p 2.64% 4.98% 1.84% 3.10% 3.10%
BAT 3436.00p 2.63% 4.19% 4.87% 2.44% 2.44%
General Electric ** $26.14 2.14% 2.50% 10.48% 25.53% 66.59%
Centrica 353.40p 1.79% 4.91% -4.41% 5.94% 6.57%
BAE Systems 454.70p 1.83% 4.46% 0.07% 34.97% 37.79%
Microsoft ** $35.35 1.83% 2.40% 7.61% 33.30% 23.08%
SSE 1416.00p 1.58% 6.23% -3.93% -0.14% 15.59%
Morrisons 281.60p 1.43% 4.60% 0.57% 7.07% 5.23%
BG Group 1273.50p 1.50% 1.39% 7.88% 25.78% -1.74%
RSA Ins.Grp 128.40p 1.40% 4.98% 6.20% 8.53% 8.53%
Tesco 364.20p 1.17% 4.15% 1.45% 8.39% -8.70%
Cash 0.66% 0.00%
100.00% 3.40%
1 Month YTD 34 mth
Virtual Portfolio gain (incl. Dividends)
- 1 month gain   1947.37 - 2060.17 5.79%
- YTD gain         1644.62 - 2060.17 25.27%
- 34 month gain 1264.20 - 2060.17 62.96%
- 46 month gain 1000.00 - 2060.17 106.02%
FTSE gain (excl. Dividends)
- 1 month gain   6462.22 - 6731.43 4.17%
- YTD gain         5897.81 - 6731.43 14.13%
- 34 month gain 5971.01 - 6731.43 12.74%
- 46 month gain 5412.88 - 6731.43 24.36%
Transactions:
22/10/2013 Div IG Group @ 17.5p per share
29/10/2013 Div Gen. Electric @ 9.97p per share
Notes: 
*     US Dividends are adjusted for exchange rate and 15% withholding tax
**   Sterling : Dollar exchange rate = £1: $1.60436 as at 31/10/13


And, the 3 year chart: 

Click to enlarge, close to return.


So as global economies seem to be in a shallow recovery phase now, there are factional concerns over the withdrawal of easy money supply, particularly in the US, and a new housing bubble in the UK.

For myself, I'm not sure that there is any substance to either concern and will be happy when the artificial interference's are removed.

Looking ahead, although I am still feeling positive that my portfolio can continue to make steady gains, there may yet be a test for my long term resolve, as my portfolio may not power ahead if recovery locks in and the markets increasing appetite for risk sees more cyclical and speculative investments come to the fore. 

But, I hope I am a more self aware investor these days and that, by focusing on a longer term goal, I can continue to smooth a good long term average of year on year gains, whilst minimizing my exposure to the kind of speculative investment that can tempt me from my path with promises that never materialize.

Until next month.

Earlier Posts:

September 2013: Portfolio Update.
August 2013: Portfolio Update.
- July 2013: Portfolio Adjustment (for new funds).
July 2013: Portfolio Update.

20 May 2013: Portfolio milestone.
April 2013: Portfolio Update.
March 2013: Portfolio Update.
February 2013: Portfolio update.
January 2013: Portfolio Update.
December 2012: Portfolio Update (2012 Year-end).

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