Monday, 19 November 2012

Musings: FTSE rise, recent falls and fiscal cliffs.

FTSE100 @ 5662.25, +56.66 (1.07%)

Not sure what to make of this morning's bounce on the FTSE other than to say it throws another spanner at my efforts to add to my portfolio by making a seemingly cheap price "slightly" less cheap. This will have very little bearing on the long term but: cake, having, and eating comes to mind! 
Although, to be fair selecting is also turning into a chore as more and more candidates drop into an attractive price range albeit with their own dark webs of future forecasts being spun by analysts.
Is there no end to the economic gloom!

But at least it looks like their might be some logic to the recent sell-off in the US (which doesn't suggest others should lamely follow though), and that is the stock market related implications stemming from the unwinding of the Bush era tax cuts in yet another legacy of self interest which has long since been capitalised on. 
The most interesting ones (or not as the case may be), being an increase to Capital Gains Tax and Dividend Tax (or withholding tax in my portfolio's case).

With the uncertainty over Capital Gains Tax rates, market reporters seem to be hinting tentatively that a proportion of the recent sell-off might actually be a case of locking in profits ahead of any as yet unconfirmed increases to the rate of CGT.
Actually seems logical.

This thinking also seems to have been applied to Apple, given its meteoric rise, as a partial explanation for some of the continued recent falls ie. locking in profits.

Is now the right time to buy, who knows. No one I know anyway.
But at least you would be buying in the knowledge that most stocks are cheaper than they have been in the last few months, some comfortably so.
So on that basis I still think it very likely that I will make an addition or top up to my portfolio soon. 
My biggest problems will be indecision and not having enough funds to buy everything I want to.

As things stand currently, November is looking like being a very disappointing month for my portfolio with current falls in excess of 2% from October's close.
But at least the dividends are continuing to roll in with GE (finally), Morrison's, Centrica, and Aviva having coughed up so far this month, and Apple and BAe still to come.
In addition, Apple, BP, Microsoft, National Grid, and Vodafone, have gone, or are due to trade ex-dividend this month. 
Which basically means that I now have visibility of my next invest-able size tranche of funds.


Ex Div. Company and payoutDue date
19-SepAviva @ 10p per share16-Nov
19-SepIG Group @ 16.75p per share23-Oct
20-SepGE @ 17c per share25-Oct 
26-SepMorrison @ 3.49p per share05-Nov
26-SepCentrica @ 4.62p per share14-Nov
10-OctTesco @ 4.63p per share21-Dec.
17-OctBAE @ 7.8p per share30-Nov
24-OctR-R @ 7.6p per share04-Jan.
24-Oct
07-Nov
07-Nov
William Hill @ 3.4p per share
Apple @ $2.65 per share
BP @ 9c per share
07-Dec.
15-Nov
21-Dec
13-Nov
21 Nov
Microsoft 23c per share
Vodafone @ 3.27p per share
13-Dec
06 Feb
28 NovNat. Grid @ 14.49p per share16 Jan




Roll up, roll up for the Magical Dividend Tour!

Related post links:
October 2012: Portfolio Update (The Long Haul).

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